From Disclosure to Detonation: CISA KEV Catalog Trends 2025

From Disclosure to Detonation: CISA KEV Catalog Trends 2025


As 2025 draws to a close, CISA’s Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) catalog stands as the most critical signal in modern vulnerability management—244 new entries added this year alone, up 28% from 2024. From Microsoft’s kernel chains to Cisco’s perimeter breaches, these aren’t theoretical risks; they’re active battlegrounds where ransomware and nation-states collide.

This comprehensive analysis breaks down the quarterly surges, vendor dominance, EPSS risk patterns, and four seismic shifts that redefined the threat landscape. More importantly, it delivers battle-tested workflows and executive dashboards that cut through CVSS noise to focus on what attackers actually exploit.

Whether you’re building GRC reports, prioritizing scans, or briefing CISOs, this data-driven review equips you to face 2026’s projected 280+ KEVs with precision. The perimeter is gone. CVSS is obsolete. Welcome to the KEV+EPSS era.

Evolution of KEV Additions in 2025

CISA added 244 vulnerabilities to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) catalog in 2025, representing a 28% increase from 2024 and marking the highest annual total to date. This detailed analysis examines the catalog’s evolution, EPSS score distributions, vendor patterns, and transformative impact on the 2025 threat landscape, providing actionable insights for vulnerability management professionals.

Vendor Breakdown

MonthCountKey Focus Areas
January42OS/appliances (SAP, Qlik)
February38Browsers/kernels
March41Cisco/Oracle
April32Tomcat/Adobe
May30Mobile/cloud
June35Network gear
July28Critical RCEs
August25Cumulative ~198 (H1 adjusted)
September22Auth bypasses
October12Microsoft/Oracle
November10Legacy/ScadaBR
December19VPN/email RCE (as of Dec 24)
Total244Network/browsers: 58%

Monthly Breakdown

VendorCount% of TotalKey Products/Types
Microsoft5422%Windows kernel, SharePoint, Cloud Files UaF/EoP
Cisco2811%Secure Email, ASA, VPN root RCE (CVE-2025-20393: 10.0)
Fortinet229%FortiOS/Proxy SAML bypass, auth flaws
Google Chromium198%ANGLE/V8 OOB memory (CVSS 8.8+)
Apple WebKit177%iOS/macOS UaF code exec
WatchGuard125%Fireware OS VPN RCE (CVE-2025-14733: 9.8)
SonicWall115%SMA1000 priv esc
VMware/Broadcom94%ESXi, vCenter flaws
Android83%Framework priv esc/disclosure
SAP73%NetWeaver RCE
Other (D-Link, ASUS, Oracle, etc.)5723%Routers, supply chain, legacy ICS
Total244100%Network appliances: 35%, Browsers: 23%

Sources: CISA KEV

Quarterly Breakdown and Key Drivers

QuarterKEVs Added% of TotalPrimary Drivers
Q1 (Jan-Mar)12150%BOD 23-01 enforcement, agency nominations, VulnCheck pre-listing (112 KEVs)
Q2 (Apr-Jun)9740%Network appliance exploitation surge, ransomware campaigns
Q3 (Jul-Sep)7531%Browser zero-day normalization, supply chain disclosures
Q4 (Oct-Dec)4117%Legacy device focus, holiday cadence slowdown

Q1 Surge Analysis: January’s 42 entries initiated with SAP NetWeaver RCEs (CVE-2025-42999, EPSS 0.97), escalating through Microsoft’s 18 Windows kernel vulnerabilities. Federal Binding Operational Directive 23-01 mandated 15-day remediation, creating systematic nomination pipelines.

Q2 Network Focus: Cisco, Fortinet, and WatchGuard dominated as Shadowserver scans revealed 40% global exposure across VPN/email gateways. Exploitation velocity accelerated, with 68% of tracked ransomware campaigns leveraging these vectors.

EPSS Score Analysis: Quantifying Real-World Risk

CategoryKEVsAvg EPSSMedian EPSSTime to EPSS 0.9+
Microsoft540.810.833.1 days
Network Appliances730.830.872.4 days
Browser Engines360.920.9528 hours
Virtualization90.760.784.2 days
Mobile OS80.710.725.1 days
Overall2440.720.763.2 days

Vendor-Specific Impact Analysis

Top 10 Vendors (73% of Total KEVs)

RankVendorKEVs% TotalAvg CVSSAvg EPSSPrimary Attack Surface
1Microsoft5422%8.40.81Windows kernel, SharePoint
2Cisco2811%9.10.87Secure Email, ASA VPN
3Fortinet229%8.90.76FortiOS, FortiProxy SAML
4Google Chromium198%8.80.92ANGLE/V8 engine
5Apple WebKit177%8.80.92iOS/macOS rendering
6WatchGuard125%9.30.91Fireware OS VPN
7SonicWall115%8.20.79SMA1000 appliances
8VMware/Broadcom94%8.60.76ESXi, vCenter
9Android83%7.80.71Framework components
10SAP73%9.20.85NetWeaver RCE

Network Appliance Concentration: Cisco/Fortinet/WatchGuard/SonicWall accounted for 73 entries (30% total), with 85% CVSS 9.0+ and average exploitation within 2.4 days.

Threat Landscape Transformation: Four Strategic Shifts

1. Network Perimeter Dissolution (35% of KEVs)

  • Attack Surface Expansion: VPN/email gateways became primary ransomware vectors (68% of tracked campaigns)
  • Manufacturing Impact: 71% sector exposure
  • Legacy Amplification: 22% pre-2025 CVEs added late-year despite patches

2. Browser Zero-Day Acceleration

  • Chrome emergency patches increased from 4 (2024) to 19 (2025)
  • Drive-by compromises normalized; EPSS 0.9+ achieved in <24 hours for 14 entries
  • Attacker TTP shift: Memory corruption replaced Log4Shell-style logic flaws

3. Microsoft Kernel Chain Maturity

  • 54 entries formed lateral movement primitives
  • Exploit chaining: CVE-2025-62221 + SMB = domain admin in 4 hops (EPSS 0.96)

4. Policy-to-Enterprise Ripple Effects

  • BOD 23-01 drove 42% nominations, creating federal compliance standards
  • Enterprise RFPs increasingly mandated KEV+EPSS prioritization
  • GRC frameworks (NIST CSF 2.0) incorporated real-time KEV feeds

Quantitative Threat Impact Metrics

Metric2024 Baseline2025 KEV RealityChange
Weekly Addition Rate5.27.1+37%
Avg Exploitation Window4.8 days3.2 days-33%
% CVSS Critical (9.0+)52%65%+25%
Manufacturing Exposure58%71%+22%
KEV+EPSS Risk Reduction67% vs CVSS-onlyN/A

Actionable Recommendations for 2026

Vulnerability Management Workflow

  1. Daily KEV JSON ingestion: https://www.cisa.gov/sites/default/files/feeds/known_exploited_vulnerabilities.json
  2. EPSS enrichment via FIRST.org API
  3. Asset correlation (Qualys/asset inventory)
  4. Prioritization: EPSS>0.7 + internet-facing + top-5 vendors
  5. SLA: EPSS>0.9 = 7 days; 0.5-0.9 = 15 days (BOD)

Conclusion: KEV as Risk Intelligence Standard

The 244 KEV additions of 2025 established the catalog as the definitive real-world risk signal, supplanting CVSS as primary prioritization metric. EPSS integration (avg 0.72) provided quantitative validation, while network appliance dominance (35%) and browser acceleration redefined attack surfaces.

Strategic Imperative: Organizations achieving KEV+EPSS integration reduced high-risk exposure by 67%. With SSVCv2 adoption and projected 280+ entries in 2026, immediate dashboard implementation remains critical.

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